Four Down
Tom Stevenson
Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurashi was the fourth leader of the Islamic State organisation, and the fourth to be killed in a US raid or airstrike. In 2006, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi was tracked and assassinated with F-16s. In 2010, Abu Omar al-Baghdadi was killed in a special forces raid in Tikrit. The first caliph of the Islamic State, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, was killed in a special forces operation in 2019.
US intelligence found al-Qurashi by tracking a courier working for ISIS in Syria’s Idlib province. On the night of 2 February, special forces flew in from Iraq in helicopters, surrounded the house that al-Qurashi had rented (apparently posing as a taxi driver), and ordered the residents out with loudspeakers. Al-Qurashi and twelve others, mostly women and children, were killed. The US claims that al-Qurashi, like Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, detonated the bomb that did the damage. The only people left alive who know exactly what happened are the special forces operatives involved, and they are unlikely to tell.
Al-Qurashi was born Muhammad Said Abdul Rahman al-Mawla (he also went by the name Abdullah Qardash, among others) in a majority Turkmen village near Mosul. He joined the jihadist movement after the invasion of Iraq in 2003 and, like his predecessor, spent time in American detention in Camp Bucca. He rose through the caliphal hierarchy to become overseer of the Islamic State’s judges. His birthplace led to doubts about his ethnicity – Arab or Turkmen? – and hence his suitability to succeed al-Baghdadi as caliph. The caliphate no longer existed as a territorial state, but the question mattered to ISIS supporters.
Iraqi intelligence thought al-Qurashi was in hiding somewhere east of the Euphrates, perhaps in the Samawah desert. That he was in fact in Idlib, less than two miles from the Turkish border, is no great surprise. Atmeh, the village where he was living, is near Barisha, where al-Baghdadi was killed. The area is under the control of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, a former al-Qaida affiliate on poor terms with ISIS. But the mass displacements of the Syrian civil war make it easy to disappear. Villagers who in the past might have been suspicious of outsiders are used to new arrivals coming and going.
Some American news outlets reported that the goal of the raid had been to capture al-Qurashi. But President Biden said the choice was between a special forces night raid and an airstrike. They reason they opted for the raid was to ‘minimise civilian casualties’ (without success, it would seem), not because it was a capture attempt. The results of these JSOC operations tend to be the same. And the pattern of US assassinations of jihadists in general and ISIS leaders in particular is clear.
The chief advantage of a special forces raid is that it’s easier to confirm the identity of the victims. The US regularly conducts drone assassinations in northern Syria, often with disregard for civilian casualties and without firm evidence of who it is shooting at. It claims to have killed an implausible number of ‘senior al-Qaida leaders’ in such strikes. When the US needs to be sure of its victims, it prefers to get up close.
Al-Qurashi claimed the title of caliph but the organisation he headed could no longer be called a state. The former territory of the caliphate is now divided up among the Syrian Kurds, the Turkish army and its proxies, Syrian government forces, and Iraqi Shia paramilitaries. ISIS has reverted to the organisational structure it had before its spectacular conquests in 2014. It is more a loose network run by committees than a coherent bureaucracy. Its main activities are guerrilla operations, much like those of its affiliate in the Sinai peninsula. It doesn’t require much central direction.
The marginalised, predominantly rural Sunnis in Syria and Iraq who formed the base of support for the Islamic State have seen no real change in their material conditions. Many of the cities ISIS once held were all but destroyed by Western air power, and have been only partly rebuilt. Many former footsoldiers remain in scattered prison camps. In January, hundreds escaped when the group launched an attack on a prison in Hasakah.
The US policy of assassinating ISIS leaders did not prevent its rise, or cause its fall. There are plenty more veterans of the Iraq insurgency, plenty of former Camp Bucca detainees.
Comments
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9 February 2022
at
5:13pm
Jeffrey Dudgeon
says:
I rather think the Russian and Syrian government air forces played a bigger part in the destruction of cities.
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14 February 2022
at
4:40pm
deuchars48
says:
@
Jeffrey Dudgeon
In Iraq?
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9 February 2022
at
10:01pm
Gary Leiser
says:
This reminds me of an old sketch in Pogo. Wily Cat (aka Joseph McCarthy) appears and says "When I see a stranger crossing my land, I just raise old Bess and POW!" And Pogo says, "Wily, how do you know if he is friend or foe?" "That's easy," he says, "Once you roll him over."
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11 February 2022
at
11:41am
DavidSanderson
says:
Stevenson claims that the use of special forces saved no lives compared to the air strike alternative but the detailed report in the Washington Post credibly claims that a family was saved:
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14 February 2022
at
12:44am
Thomas Drapkin
says:
This is the strangest article I have read in the LRB since its 11 page apologia for Colonel Gaddafi.
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14 February 2022
at
4:41pm
deuchars48
says:
@
Thomas Drapkin
What exactly do you take issue with?
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15 February 2022
at
3:52am
nlowhim
says:
Some good points made here. Not much said of the current camps for Sunni women and children (nevermind children in prison, some of whom the richest most powerful countries in the world are too afraid to take back because… moral austerity has taken hold of them) where rape runs rampant. Im sure we’ll see another ISIS, though maybe not under the same banner.
Read moreOf course, we could always be like the Israelis and declare the innocents to be "suspected terrorists." A dead suspected terrorist is as good as a "genuine" terrorist. G Leiser
"Using a bullhorn to announce themselves, they rounded up the family on the first floor — a man, a woman and several children — and led them away."
This family would certainly have died in an air strike.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/02/10/isis-qurayshi-raid/
The piece does point out how there is plenty of fuel for the fire. Even in Baghdad, where street children are everywhere and so is prostitution, we have the kind of corruption that will certainly bring more violence (albeit different).
So another leader’s dead? Don’t worry, there’s plenty of money invested in getting headlines like these, less for the prevention of the factors that bring such people about. But I suppose given the reaction to COVID in the west, prevention policies are out of style. Headlines that give the electorate a freedom hit are what matter.