Recipe for Suicide
John Lanchester · Will there be a deal today?
No news yet. In with all the extraordinary excitement and unprecedented constitutional upheaval, I’m also starting to get a little bit bored. Apparently the mood-music or hint-music is that they’ll reach a deal today.
According to the Guardian, ‘Cameron is understood to have told senior Tories that he would not be offering a referendum on electoral reform under his government’.
That has to mean no deal, surely? But according to the FT, ‘The Lib Dems are demanding that Mr Cameron moves immediately to introduce a version of electoral reform – the so-called alternative vote – as a sign of his intention to carry out more far-reaching reforms over time.’ He’s also trying to insist on fixed term Parliaments. I’m amazed that would be enough for the Lib Dems; to me, going into power with the Tories would be a recipe for suicide. Not mine, obviously: theirs. It would be the perfect outcome for Labour.
As for the Times, their live blog reproduces a poster which sums up the feelings of many people I know.
Comments
On one level it seems that the British electorate have had enough of Labour but cannot yet fully embrace the Tories and aren't particularly attracted by the Lib Dems either. A major complicating factor is that it is hard for any electoral system to create a sound set of global preferences from the mass of individual preferences. Clearly the FPTP system is a very poor way to reflect those preferences. After all, the Lib Dems did win about 23% of the vote, which would have seen them with 150 seats under a strictly proportional system.
It is true that minor parties who enter coalition often pay a high price for compromising. Typically small parties are not broad churches and are instead made up of people with slightly more ideological reasons for making their choice. This leaves them open to rejection when they make the necessary compromises associated with coaltion and then later get bogged down with the imperfect fudges that are part of being in government. That is why it is essential for Clegg to get some kind of movement on electoral form.
Yet the other reality is that his party ought not think it can hang around forever awaiting some big breakthrough. If it gets a reasonable offer of influence now, it should enter power and try to shape policy as best it can in a set number of core areas. But it needs to inform its base at the start that many objectives cannot be tackled owing to the compromise and that they must be patient and work with what they have.