Russiagate Revisited
Jackson Lears
The anti-Russian hysteria in Washington has slipped beyond self-parody. We now have front-row seats in a theatre of the absurd, watching the media furor explode after Robert Mueller’s ‘indictments’ of 13 Russians and three Russian companies for interfering in the 2016 presidential elections.
Mueller’s actions deserve the scare quotes because they are not really indictments at all. The accused parties will never be extradited or brought to trial. Nor is it clear that their actions rise to the level of crimes. The supposed indictments are merely dramatic accusations, a giant publicity stunt.
Even if they were real indictments, they would not be convictions. American journalists seem to have forgotten that distinction. In contemporary American jurisprudence, prosecutors routinely get rubber stamps from grand juries. A grand jury, the adage goes, will indict a ham sandwich. For a g-man on a white horse like Mueller, universally lionised in the mainstream media, a grand jury would probably indict a peanut butter sandwich.
One of the most bizarre aspects of Russiagate is the magical transformation of intelligence agency heads into paragons of truth-telling – a trick performed not by reactionary apologists for domestic spying, as one would expect, but by people who consider themselves liberals. There is something genuinely absurd about a former director of the FBI – which along with the CIA and NSA has long been one of the gravest threats to democracy in America – solemnly warning of the threat to democracy posed by Russian meddling in the election.
And what was the nature of that alleged meddling? The pseudo-indictments are clear: the meddlers had nothing to do with the Russian government and nothing to do with the Trump campaign – except that they sometimes ‘communicated with unwitting individuals’ associated with it. And the Russians’ activities had no impact on the outcome of the election. Mueller’s assignment was to investigate whether the Russian government colluded with the Trump campaign to promote his victory over Hillary Clinton. None of the current charges has anything to do with this. (Nor does Mueller’s recent indictment of Alex van der Zwaan, an attorney and associate of Trump’s crony Paul Manafort.) The pseudo-indictments merely add to the billowing clouds of innuendo that have characterised the Russiagate narrative from the beginning.
According to Mueller’s accusations, the meddlers began their operations long before the campaign began and certainly before anyone thought Trump had a snowball’s chance in hell; they posed as Muslims, black activists, white Southerners, among other social types, all posting slogans and invective on social media. After the election, they staged pro-Trump and anti-Trump rallies. Somehow the media have made this mishmash fit the Russiagate narrative, assuming it reveals a coherent Kremlin plan to elect Trump.
So what is the point of these sham indictments? It is fair to speculate that there is more going on here than a simple search for truth. Early on in the 37-page document that was released to such fanfare, the FBI makes a revealing assertion, claiming that the Russians aimed ‘to sow discord in the US political system’ – as if vigorous debate were not an appropriate state of affairs for a democratic polity; as if the normal expression of democracy is bland conformity to policies fashioned by elites. By explicitly linking the Russians with support for the Sanders and Trump campaigns, Mueller’s pseudo-indictments identify dissent from the Washington consensus with foreign subversion. They reinforce the reigning orthodoxy and tighten the boundaries of permissible public discourse.
The consequences are potentially catastrophic. By focusing on the manufactured menace of Russiagate, the Democratic Party leadership can continue to ignore its own failures as well as the actual menace posed by Trump. And by fostering the fantasy of a vast Russian plot against America, the mainstream media can shut down reasonable foreign policy debate and promote a dangerous, unnecessary confrontation with a rival power. The final act in Washington’s theatre of the absurd has yet to be written, but the denouement looks dark.
Comments
Further, I'm not sure how you get to 'The pseudo-indictments are clear: the meddlers had nothing to do with the Russian government'. They don't demonstrate that they did, but they hardly prove the negative. I find it hard to believe that such a huge coordinated effort could have been done without the Kremlin's support; and then there's the question of motive - who, in Russia, would want to destabilize the US political system but its government?
Finally, I don't think anyone is suggesting that 'vigorous debate [is] not an appropriate state of affairs for a democratic polity'. It's rather that such a debate is only genuine when the debaters are sincere (saying what they believe as opposed to what they are being paid to) and truthful (as opposed to, for example, masquerading as members of the polity when they are not).
It was a couple of dozen people using VPNs.
More puzzling is his claim that, '...the meddlers had nothing to do with the Russian government...' Now the NYTimes is ideologically motivated to promote the neo-liberal Washington consensus but I'll give some credit to the statement: 'The indictment does not explicitly say the Russian government sponsored the effort, but American intelligence officials have publicly said that President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia directed and oversaw it. The indictment notes that two of the Russian firms involved hold Russian government contracts.' I find it hard to believe that a large Russian intelligence firm was operating without some understanding with Putin and Co.
Of course U.S. intelligence does many of the same things in other countries as well. I see no reason why there can't be some real meat to the indictments while at the same time they're being used to promote a specific agenda. Lears seems too quick dismiss the possibility.
Jackson Lears is discussing collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government to influence the 2016 election, not business activities (legal or illegal) between Trump or members of his campaign with Russia (or Ukraine in the case of Yanukovych). If you want to demonize business activities in Russia, keep in mind that there are more than 3,000 US companies doing business there, McDonald's which has about 700 restaurants and Starbucks which has 100 locations, including a drive-in which opened this week.
http://www.aalep.eu/american-companies-operating-russia
https://themoscowtimes.com/news/starbucks-opens-first-russian-coffee-drive-through-outside-moscow-60688
Citibank has branches all over Russia, including 11 in Moscow.
https://www.citibank.ru/russia/branches/eng/branches_msk.htm
(I'm not suggesting Russia orchestrated Brexit but they have certainly encouraged it as anyone reading public comment boards can testify - all those people with very English names but who just can't disguise that English is not their first language.)
Dont you think you’re being a bit paranoid? I believe in UFO‘s by the way, I read it on the internet & fairies mostly choose Welsh sounding names
However, with respect to the matter at hand (Russian interference in US elections), Lears seems to be unwilling to make even the most common-sense inferences based on the evidence made public to date. Good, he knows the old saw about “you can indict a ham sandwich”; what about the old saw that "if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it’s probably a duck”? This would seem to apply to the relationship between the International Research Center and the Rusian government – you don’t have a nice little building that’s totally wired for sophisticated internet operations and a million-point-four dollar a month budget in Moscow without connections to the powers that be. Maybe Lears thinks this is a guess that can’t be proven – but it’s similar to the guess made by most journalists that the armed men appearing in unmarked uniforms and with heavy weaponry in the Crimea at the time of its Russian annexation and those appearing suddenly in eastern Ukraine when things began to fall apart after Maidan were Russian military men and volunteers trained by the Russian army.
As to Lears’ point that these are ‘pseudo-indictments’, everybody understands that. But you could also call them, less tendentiously, ‘public information (to the American public) indictments’. There’s nothing wrong with that. David C. Johnston’s books, “The Making of Donald Trump” and “It’s Even Worse than You Think - What the Trump Administration is Doing to America“ are full of well-documented materials that would (and should) make Trump indictable in civil courts and perhaps even in criminal courts – but they will probably never be pursued in court. Note, Trump hasn’t sued Johnston yet, a real clue to the likely, supportable truth about Trump’s past activities, as described by Cay.
Special-counsel investigations, unfortunately, have broad and poorly defined remits – they are designed to be “fishing expeditions” This is what allowed the Whitewater investigation to turn into what it did. Nothing of significance could be found against Billary on the supposition that their real-estate deal gone bad was criminal, so we wound up with a recommendation for impeachment based on perjury regarding the randy neo-liberal’s sexual behavior. There are lots of reasons to dislike various aspects of both Clintons’ politics and policies, but the whole impeachment-episode stank from the outset.
Like other investigators of white-collar criminals, Mueller’s team will “follow the money”, opening many avenues that seem to terrify Trump. Johnston himself admits that Trump’s “personal connections” to Putin and his circle of influential cronies was nothing but puffery and braggadocio, but there’s the other matter of criminal money laundering via real-estate purchases and transactions with various Trump properties, committed by Russians and an international host of malefactors that will make him look even worse than he already smells, once they come to full light. American journalists themselves are remiss for not having looked into these matters in 2015 and 2016; there were plenty of clues out there, but our reporters went with personality-driven stories and the conventional electoral “horse-race” reporting that essentially ignores all matters relating to public policy.
Let’s ask Mr. Lears what he really thinks, and what his reasons for thinking so are. Does he doubt Russian attempts to meddle in the election? If he believes it happened, does he also believe it was insignificant, trivial? By the way, his equation of the kinds of Facebook and various other website stunts put together by the Russian hackers with “vigorous political debate” is laughable. We don’t really have much of that in the US (once again, shame on the majority of our journalists, be they of the print, TV, or internet ilk), but to put the Russian efforts into that category means that Lear has to do a “category reality-check” before he ventilates. Maybe he thinks that Lord Haw-Haw (or Ezra Pound) was stimulating vigorous political debate during WWII. Wake up, man – you probably have many well-supported and good reasons for challenging US policy (I do), but this particular piece is both tendentious and lacking in persuasive argument.
Clarke informed his host that Obama had made a ruling that such agencies could not take specific cyber-warfare actions against any other country (Russia, China, others) without Presidential approval. Clarke also pointed out that the normal response to reports such as those supplied by the intelligence agencies would be the formulation of a plan of counter-operations by White House security advisors. If the White House advisors have presented such a plan to Trump, he has not acknowledged it publicly or requested the agencies to retaliate following such a plan (this is clear from their testimony).
What might they do? Clarke recommended that the first step should be an operation that shuts down the IRA completely: destroying both their software and "frying" their hardware through our own hacking programs. If the message is not received and the hacking into the upcoming election continues, Clarke recommended that every last enterprise run by Yevgeny Prigozhin, Putin's "chef" who is the "owner" of the IRA, be similarly brought down through hacking.
Clarke knows this would open the situation to major Russian shut-down operations directed at various aspects of US infrastructure that depend on the internet, but believes this is a price that must be paid in order to deter Russia's cyber-warfare as it unfolds. It seems unlikely that Trump would ever go this far - besides, he's on record as stating that Putin told him he's not doing it and that Trump believes it.
None of this is actually "hysteria", as Lears supposes. Trump's silence on the matter is very strange, especially for a man who likes to shoot his mouth off and issue dire (or vague) threats.
I have direct proof that this is false. In fact, today well over 90% and up to 100% of the public comments made at the Fox web site are made by paid Russian trolls. And the chance of any clam or rational debate there is nil. On what evidence do you base your claim that the output from St. Petersburg was so trivial?
And ham (or peanut butter) sandwich notwithstanding, Mueller has gotten his share of guilty pleas so far. That means something to me. Also, the fact that there have no leaks from his investigation tells me that there is loyalty and purposefulness in his team, and that they respect their leader. Lears does not suggest a reason for Mueller’s lionization by the media (and by Americans in general). Let me submit that it is because he is a tower of integrity.
Another thing I have learned from my blogs that this piece left unmentioned is the nature of the kind of legal case-building that Mueller is undertaking. It is slow and steady, with no artificial deadlines. It is built from the ground up, resting on a multitude of seemingly minor but irrefutable facts. And it does not show its hand before it’s time.
People are suffering from this administration, and the Mueller investigation is one of our best hopes. I for one am willing to respect this process and patiently await its final result.
-- He blocked a subpoena by the Senate investigation of 911 to interview an FBI informer who had a close relationship with 2 of the hijackers:
https://harpers.org/archive/2017/10/crime-and-punishment-4/?single=1
-- He promoted the Bush administration's lies about about Iraq WMDs:
https://archives.fbi.gov/archives/news/testimony/war-on-terrorism
So what you "completely agree with" is demonstrably false. Let's stick with the facts that are beyond any dispute.
Jackson Lears writes:
"Mueller’s assignment was to investigate whether the Russian government colluded with the Trump campaign to promote his victory over Hillary Clinton. None of the current charges has anything to do with this."
The act appointing Mueller reads:
"a) Robert S. Mueller III is appointed to serve as Special Counsel for the United States Department of Justice.
(b) The Special Counsel is authorized to conduct the investigation confirmed by then-FBI Director James 8. Comey in testimony before the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence on March 20, 2017, including:
(i) any links and or coordination between the Russian government and individuals associated with the campaign of President Donald Trump; and
(ii) any matters that arose or may arise directly from the investigation; and
(iii) any other matters within the scope of 28 C.F.R. § 600.4(a).
On March 20, 2017, Comey testified:
"I have been authorized by the Department of Justice to confirm that the FBI, as part of our counterintelligence mission, is investigating the Russian government’s efforts to interfere in the 2016 presidential election and that includes investigating the nature of any links between individuals associated with the Trump campaign and the Russian government and whether there was any coordination between the campaign and Russia’s efforts."
So the first lie is that Mueller was appointed to investigate only collusion, and hence these indictments are outside the scope of the inquiry. Mueller was appointed to investigate Russian interference into the election *including*, but not limited to, collusion. As I said, collusion is a red herring here. It is the same red herring that Trump and Fox and the GOP repeat over and over, as do the sources you cite. Mueller was appointed to investigate Russian interference, and these efforts fall square within his mandate. I would prefer that you not even bring up the issue of collusion since I explicitly said I don't think there was any. That is point 1.
Jackson Leads writes:
"Mueller’s actions deserve the scare quotes because they are not really indictments at all."
That is just a lie. Indictments are indictments. They were returned by a Grand Jury on presentation of evidence that convinced them of a prima facie case that a specific US law had been violated. These laws had to do with identity theft. I agree that that crime per se is tangential to the real story here, and that Mueller is probably using these indictments to keep attention focussed on the real story: Russian interference. Even if that interference had been completely legal (which it wasn't), that is the story. This part is Leads's equivalent of calling Watergate a "third-rate burglary". That rather misses the real story of Watergate. That is point 2.
Jackson Leads writes:
"And what was the nature of that alleged meddling? The pseudo-indictments are clear: the meddlers had nothing to do with the Russian government and nothing to do with the Trump campaign – except that they sometimes ‘communicated with unwitting individuals’ associated with it. And the Russians’ activities had no impact on the outcome of the election."
I leave it to you to find the place in the indictments that states that the people indicted and the large-scale operation they work for had nothing to do with the Russian government (who exactly is paying for this activity and why?) or where it states that these activities had no impact on the outcome of the election. This last statement, made as if Mueller himself asserted it, is word-for-word the sort of thing that comes from Sean Hannity. If all of this activity can be shown to have had no impact, then show it, or make a plausible case. The very existence of the operation shows that someone—I say the Russian government, please say who you think it is—takes these activities to be effective. And to not only have an impact but to have a decisive impact, only 80,000 votes in the right places have to be affected. That is why I am entirely confident that the Russian campaign as a whole was decisive. That is point 3.
Jackson Leads writes:
"Early on in the 37-page document that was released to such fanfare, the FBI makes a revealing assertion, claiming that the Russians aimed ‘to sow discord in the US political system’ – as if vigorous debate were not an appropriate state of affairs for a democratic polity; as if the normal expression of democracy is bland conformity to policies fashioned by elites. By explicitly linking the Russians with support for the Sanders and Trump campaigns, Mueller’s pseudo-indictments identify dissent from the Washington consensus with foreign subversion. They reinforce the reigning orthodoxy and tighten the boundaries of permissible public discourse."
It is hard to even decipher what this is supposed to state. That it is impossible to have as a goal to sow discord? That any attempt to sow discord is automatically also "vigorous debate"? Here is an empirical test you can do right now. Go to Fox News. Find any article that allows for public comments. Look at the comment thread. Now look particularly for screen names that contain what appear to be random digits, like "Rickh485" or "Kamano55" or "Original_Vee_Kay974". Those are all Russian trolls, working out of St. Petersburg. Now evaluate whether their job—for which they get 40,000 rubles a month, or probably more—is to "promote vigorous debate" or to "sow discord". That is point 4.
In short, what you say you "completely agree with" is a demonstrably false pack of lies, and a hyperventilating screed to boot. Do you wish that I really take it to be representative of your beliefs?
(2) The significance of the accused Russian troll farm has been widely debunked, including by Adrian Chen of the New Yorker, who was the first to expose the IRA in 2015:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2018/02/20/new_yorkers_adrian_chen_russia_social_media_marketing_bot_campaign_wasnt_effective.html
Here's a good piece by author of "What's the Matter with Kansas?" author Thomas Frank:
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/23/russian-bots-us-election-coup-d-etat
Finally, the suggestion that if it weren't for Russian trolls, political discord in the US would have been significantly less in 2016, stretches credulity -- to put it mildly.
It's a bizarre screed that makes little sense.
- there are a number of claims that the indictments are not indictments because (a) indictments are easy to get and (b) the indicted are unlikely to face extradition. Neither (a) nor (b) stop the indictments from being valid or important.
- others have pointed out that the author selectively quotes the instrument authorising Mueller's investigation. This could be carelessness or a knowing omission. Neither reflects well on the author.
- the author suggests that because the actions did not change the election, that this means they are not worthy of censure. Why not? Attempted crimes are still crimes.
I have no idea why the LRB saw fit to publish this. It's really rather idiotic.
Aaron Mate / The Nation
https://www.thenation.com/article/hyping-the-mueller-indictment/
Steven Cohen / The Nation
https://www.thenation.com/article/russiagate-or-intelgate/
Coleen Rowley and Nat Parry / Consortium News
https://consortiumnews.com/2018/02/09/this-is-nuts-liberals-launch-largest-mobilization-in-history-in-defense-of-russiagate-probe/
Ray McGovern / Consortium News
https://consortiumnews.com/2018/01/11/the-fbi-hand-behind-russia-gate/
Jeffrey St. Clair / Counterpunch
https://www.counterpunch.org/2018/02/23/99972/
Joyce Nelson / Counterpunch
https://www.counterpunch.org/2018/02/23/why-muellers-indictments-are-hugely-important/
Max Blumenthal / Alternet
https://www.alternet.org/grayzone-project/flynn-indictment-exposes-collusion-israel
War is coming, and it matters very little which imperial US party declares for it.
If you seek out all sides and probe beneath the endlessly repeated headlines of Russiagate you'll find an absence of evidence for the foundational claims that the Russian government (a) hacked the DNC (b) colluded with the Trump campaign or (c) meddled in social media.
If you want to test what I've said, the best way to start, in my opinion, is with the Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS) who began challenging narratives of the intelligence community in the lead-up to the Iraq war. Here is their first memo to President Obama on the allegations of Russian hacking of the DNC:
https://consortiumnews.com/2016/12/12/us-intel-vets-dispute-russia-hacking-claims/
That was the old trope that leftists swore by when Communism was ruled by the Politburo and the USSR had to be the examplar of all things Utopian. But we know better now. The global left needs to shake off its kneejerk adoration of non-capitalist icons and stand for real democracy and real socialist ideals, and the USSR was never about that (nor is Russia now).
If we shake off the blinders of ideology, Russia's authoritarian tendencies come to light and Lears' article becomes a propaganda piece for Putin.
Mueller understood this perfectly well; he is nobody's fool. Mueller is building his case meticulously, fully aware that a less than perfect case against Trump and his cronies will be rejected as, well, a political stunt, despite the fact that Mueller is a lifelong Republican.
It hardly matters that Putin probably didn't expect to succeed in actually getting Trump elected. At worst he would have sown doubts about a President Hillary Clinton, who likely would have faced the same obstructionism as her predecessor.
But he in fact DID get Trump, the equivalent of an orangutan, elected president of the world's most powerful country equipped, frighteningly, with the world's most powerful military.
Trump, who is a simple-minded New York landlord, assumed everyone in the American government could be bullied about or dismissed with a minor bribe, like a crooked New York building inspector. He demands cringe-inducing praise from his circle of Cabinet secretaries in the manner of the leaders of North Korea and assorted banana republics. He does not read, and may not know how to. He seeks retribution against comedians who joke about him.
It is beyond me how all this could be dismissed as trivial. Trump, whose election was almost certainly made possible by Putin, could literally start a nuclear war, trigger a worldwide depression, or damage the environment in ways that can simply not ever be repaired. "Pseudo-indictments" my foot.
And why does the president want to fire the special prosecutor, anyway? This is completely mysterious under the "manufactured menace" theory.
If the intent is public relations to justify your existence, you announce the indictment with fanfare.
Either way, there's actually nothing in the indictment that suggests the Russian government conducted a serious effort to sway the election.
Here's a good take on this from Thomas Frank, author of "What Happened to Kansas"
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/23/russian-bots-us-election-coup-d-etat